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I read here that the speakers were prone to moisture damage. I replaced all 4 with plastic coned Fosgate cheapies to help prevent any future issues.
I didn't realize the extent of the water intrusion. The car was parked outside during a mild rainstorm. The left rear new speaker wasn't working so I pulled the door panel again and found this amount of water on the speaker baffle. This is a lot of water for a 15 minute shower. The car is in great shape and the weatherstripping looks like new, still soft and pliable.
Ultimately it was the connector that was the problem. Contacts had oxidized obviously from the water over time.
I ended up putting the connection inside the baffle as well.
Besides supposedly bettering the sound, these baffles are a godsend for speakers and I will religiously use them going forward.